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Wednesday, June 16, 2010

Will the oil slick help or hurt a storm from developing in the Gulf?

Will the oil slick help or hurt a storm from developing in the Gulf?
• Evaporation from the sea surface fuels tropical storms and hurricanes. Over relatively calm water (such as for a developing tropical depression or disturbance), in theory, an oil slick could suppress evaporation if the layer is thick enough, by not allowing contact of the water to the air.

• With less evaporation one might assume there would be less moisture available to fuel the hurricane and thus reduce its strength.

• However, except for immediately near the source, he slick is very patchy. At moderate wind speeds, such as those found in approaching tropical storms and hurricanes, a thin layer of oil such as is the case with the current slick (except in very limited areas near the well) would likely break into pools on the surface or mix as drops in the upperlayers of the ocean. (The heaviest surface slicks, however, could re-coalesce at the surface after the storm passes.)

• This would allow much of the water to remain in touch with the overlying air and greatly reduce any effect the oil may have on evaporation.

• Therefore, the oil slick is not likely to have a significant impact on the hurricane.
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/hurricanes_oil_factsheet.pdf

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